Everyone wants to know where the Presidential race stands.
The public got their first big clue.
And now the best pollster in America delivered the worst news of Kamala Harris’ life.
Top pollster shows Trump in the lead following the debate
Atlas Intel was the most accurate pollster in the 2020 race.
In a year where pollsters wildly overestimated Joe Biden’s strength, Atlas nailed the margin directly on the nose.
Atlas Intel earned an A+ rating from 538.com coming out of 2020 for this precision.
That’s why coming out of the debate – where the media all hailed Kamala Harris as the winner – the new Atlas poll caused a stir as it showed Trump leading Kamala Harris by three points.
🚨 BREAKING: Trump LEADS BY 3+ POINTS in latest national poll!
HEAD TO HEAD:
🔴 Trump: 51% (+3)
🔵 Harris: 48%FULL BALLOT:
🔴 Trump: 51% (+4)
🔵 Harris: 47%
🟡 Others/Don’t know: 1%AtlasIntel | Sept. 11-12 | N=1,775LV pic.twitter.com/apQDGubPcm
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 14, 2024
Other top pollsters show Trump leading in key states
TIPP is another A+ rated pollster.
And TIPP’s survey for North Carolina coming out of the debate also raised eyebrows as it showed Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris by three points in the Tar Heel state.
American Greatness wrote that “On issues, the economy and immigration remain, by far, the top two issues on voters’ minds. 56% of voters there say they were “better off” when Trump was in office vs. 34% who say they are better off now. On securing the border, the 45th president earns a large +22% advantage, 57-35% over Harris. On national security, voters trust Trump more, 51-40% over Harris.”
North Carolina is the one battleground that Kamala Harris thinks she can flip from red to blue.
TIPP’s poll suggests that is a pipedream.
The Presidential race remains a tossup.
When Kamala Harris first entered the race, after the Democrat Convention, and now following the debate the media wanted to declare her candidacy a runaway train to the White House.
But at each juncture the polling keeps coming back showing Trump competitive nationally and holding the edge in enough battleground states to win re-election.
Trump’s map
North Carolina is critical for Trump to hold.
If Trump wins North Carolina and he wins Arizona and Georgia – as the Real Clear Politics polling averages suggest – then Trump only needs to win Pennsylvania to win the race.
And the Kamala Harris campaign internal poll numbers suggest Pennsylvania is a heavy lift due to her opposition to fracking.
The media is hammering home the narrative that the debate provided Kamala Harris a boost of rocket fuel for the stretch run of the 2024 campaign.
But two of the top pollsters in America produced state and battleground polling data suggesting the press narrative is a mirage.
