Both campaigns are desperate to see where they have the edge as the 2024 election enters the home stretch.
Right now, it’s Democrats who are in shock.
And NBC just sent Kamala Harris into panic mode over this one group of voters who could cost her everything.
Trump makes massive gains with Latino voters
The media smeared Trump as a racist for the line in his 2016 Presidential announcement speech where he declared some illegal aliens coming from Mexico were killers and rapists.
That was undeniably true.
But from the 2012 election on, the media operated under the delusion that all Hispanic voters cared about was amnesty for illegal aliens because of how Barack Obama won 71 percent of the Hispanic vote against hapless RINO Mitt Romney.
The joke was on the media and the Democrat Party.
Donald Trump’s percentage of the Hispanic vote grew with each election.
That’s because Latino voters are like anyone else and care about the economy, inflation, and safe streets.
The identity politics focused appeals based on amnesty for illegal aliens fell flat.
A New NBC/Telemundo poll of Latino voters showed Trump improving by double digits from 2020.
“A national NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll conducted from September 16 and 23 found that 54 percent of registered Latino voters support Harris compared to 40 percent who would vote for Trump. Meanwhile, 6 percent say they are unsure or wouldn’t vote,” Newsweek reported.
Latino voters make up a significant bloc of voters in Sun Belt swing states.
“There are 36.2 million Latinos eligible to vote in November’s election, making them the second-largest group of eligible voters after white voters. This voting bloc is seen as particularly crucial in the Southwestern swing states of Arizona and Nevada. Currently, Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, by one point in Arizona (47.9 to 46.9 percent), according to poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages, while Harris is ahead of Trump in Nevada by 1.5 points (48 to 46.5 percent),” Newsweek reported.
Polls in the swing states
The Real Clear Politics polling average shows Trump leading in Arizona by 1.7 points.
The New York Times, Fox News, Emerson, and USA Today/Suffolk all show Trump up in Arizona.
The continued realignment of working class voters – particularly men – of all races are why Trump moved Arizona back into “lean R” territory for election forecasters despite the fact that college educated voters continue to migrate to the Democrat Party.
Democrats pushing amnesty for illegal aliens had the exact opposite effect as intended.
Instead of solidifying Hispanics – the fastest growing demographic in the country as loyal Democrats – the push for amnesty energized college-educated white voters who care about virtue signaling through their politics that they are “anti-racists.”
Nevada is also an incredibly close state with the most recent poll being one from Insider Advantage that found Trump holding a one-point lead over Kamala Harris.
In the Obama years, the Democrat Party talked themselves into believing they were on the verge of a permanent majority built on the backs of the “coalition of the ascendent” – women, minorities and college graduates.
But as the professional class came to dominate the Left, their support for issues that were important in elite circles – amnesty, race and gender ideology, and soft-on-crime policies – created fissures in that coalition.
Donald Trump’s growing support with Hispanic voters is the end result of these political miscalculations.
