Kamala Harris Just Got A Big Surprise About Which Identity Trumps Hers In The 2028 Democrat Race

Kamala Harris had one job and she blew it so to speak.

Now some in the Democrat Party think they’re blowing it in a completely different way.

And Kamala Harris just got a big surprise about which identity could trump hers in the 2028 Democrat race.

The polls tell an ugly story for Democrats

Kamala Harris sits at the top of every major 2028 Democrat primary poll despite losing to Trump in an electoral landslide just 14 months ago.

The Center Square poll shows Harris crushing the field at 33% with California Governor Gavin Newsom trailing at a pathetic 13%.

Morning Consult’s tracking has Harris leading consistently for months.

She even beats Newsom in hypothetical matchups against JD Vance.

Harris spent December touring early primary states like South Carolina while speaking at Democratic National Committee meetings where party activists gave her standing ovations.

When she mentioned “the future” during her California speech, someone in the crowd shouted “You!” according to multiple reports.

The woman who couldn’t name one thing she’d do differently than Joe Biden is Democrats’ frontrunner for 2028.

Tim Walz’s spectacular collapse proves Harris picks losers

Harris made her most important decision of the 2024 campaign when she picked her running mate.

She needed Pennsylvania – the ultimate swing state that decided the election.

Instead she grabbed Minnesota Governor Tim Walz to lock down a state Democrats haven’t lost since Richard Nixon.

Walz turned into a disaster within weeks as videos surfaced of him fumbling with firearms and his military service record fell apart under scrutiny.

His ties to China raised eyebrows across the country.

Then came the billion-dollar fraud scandal that just ended his political career.

More than 90 people have been charged in what federal prosecutors call the largest COVID-era fraud scheme in America.

Criminals exploited Minnesota’s child care and nutrition programs while Walz’s administration looked the other way.

Walz dropped his reelection bid on January 5th, admitting he couldn’t fight a campaign while dealing with the fraud crisis destroying his legacy.

The man Harris thought would win over male voters couldn’t even hold his own state.

How identity politics actually work in Democrat Party Politics

Professional Democrats know Harris is a terrible candidate.

They watched her poll numbers crater in 2024 every time she opened her mouth.

Her campaign strategy was literally built around hiding her from voters and interviews.

None of that matters because Harris checks the only boxes Democrats care about.

She’s a black woman in a party they swear is controlled by black women voters and radical activists.

Gavin Newsom is a slick white guy from California who looks like he stepped out of a corporate boardroom.

The hardcore party base won’t be keen on him in primaries because he’s too white and that’s a big no, no in modern leftist society.

Pete Buttigieg is also too white but for a bunch of white liberal KARENs he gets other Diversity Olympics points because despite what they’ve said for eons, Democrats do actually care a lot about what goes on in peoples bedrooms – like A-LOT A-LOT.

Which, counter-intuitively is also why Buttigieg doesn’t have a chance because he polls at zero with black voters – who aren’t at all on board with Buttigieg . . . uh, stuff.

Illinois Governor JB Pritzker brings nothing to the table except his enormous wealth and a waistline that won’t work in the modern video-heavy campaign era.  And he probably has some really bad familial skeletons in the closet.

Objectively, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro may be the Democrats’ best bet  – he’s popular in the ultimate swing state.

And there are certain identity-driven segments of both parties that would back Shapiro all the way.

On the non-MAGA, America Last side of things in the GOP, Ben Shapiro and Mark Levin come to mind.

They’re probably swearing up and down right now that Democrats will never back Josh Shapiro because he’s Jewish and they go to great pains to point out, weirdly, how all the rioting radicals in the Democrat base are not only paid protesters but paid, pro-Hamas terrorist protestors?

That they’re paid, at least some of them, is beyond doubt.  The question is by whom? and to what end?  Soros? USAID? Iran? Definitely Iran.  

Who knows whether Josh Shapiro’s heritage is or isn’t a fatal flaw in today’s Democrat Party.

He seems to have suggested it’s the reason Harris didn’t pick him as her running mate in 2024.

During his vetting for Vice President, Harris’s team allegedly asked Shapiro about Israel and if he’d ever been an Israeli agent.

If they did, it wasn’t out of nowhere. The Philadelphia Inquirer had dug out an opinion article he’d written for his school paper in 1993 which he’d written he was “a past volunteer in the Israeli army.”

Shapiro’s campaign insisted in light of the revelation that he’d been “required to do a service project” as a high schooler and that he had volunteered “on service projects on an Israeli army base.”

Shapiro found the questions offensive and revealed the exchange in his new memoir.

But that’s a weird thing for someone with presidential ambitions to admit if he really believed, in the minds of the party’s base, his heritage disqualifies him from the 2028 Democrat nomination.

Shapiro polls at just 4% in the 2028 primary.

There’s a whole big pot of financial support from Vegas gambling maven Miriam Adelson that could help change that.

It certainly doesn’t seem likely to go to JD Vance.

Black voters and South Carolina deliver the nomination sort of

Harris polls at 60% among black Democrats according to Morning Consult.

Black women are touted as the most powerful force in Democrat politics and they’re all in for Harris.

In recent Democrat presidential history – meaning the last time they held an allegedly open nominating contest – South Carolina is credited with being the decider.

The recent conventional wisdom goes that black voters in the Palmetto State effectively choose the Democrat nominee.

South Carolina did clinch it for Joe Biden in 2020.

But in 2016 it was effectively California that delivered the nomination to Hillary Clinton.

Of course, Bernie Sanders would say it’s the truth is it is coin flips and back-room deals in the Democrat Party’s unique – and highly undemocratic – use of Super Delegates in their nominating process, in which party leaders and elected officials have super delegate status.  

They make up 15% of the delegates and are often allowed to throw their votes to whichever candidate they want regardless of how a state’s primary voters felt.  

Anyhow, South Carolina will likely hold the first primary in 2028 and thus won’t be as much of a “decider” it was in years past.

Still, no other candidate comes close to Harris with black voters currently in the polling.

She also leads with younger Democrats and voters without college degrees.

That coalition gave her 43% support in early polling – stronger than Joe Biden had at this point before his 2020 nomination.

Harris leads in five of the eight most recent national polls tracked by aggregators.

The woman who lost 2024 in humiliating fashion is somehow the prohibitive favorite for 2028.

Harris genuinely believes she ran a great campaign and that voters will give her another chance.

Her book tour convinced her the enthusiasm is real.

The problem is Harris has to actually win this nomination on her own.

At every other point in her career, powerful men handed her positions based on personal relationships.

Nobody’s giving her the 2028 nomination.

She’ll have to earn it through primaries and debates where voters see her in action.

That’s where everything falls apart.

Harris can’t articulate coherent answers to basic questions.

She famously told voters she wouldn’t change anything Biden did, sealing her fate.

Her campaign kept her away from unscripted moments because every interview made things worse.

The more Americans saw of Harris, the less they liked her.

She comes across as unprepared and uncomfortable whenever she speaks without a teleprompter.

But she could still be the Democrat Party nominee in 2028.  But so could Josh Shapiro.

Because again, the Democrat Party voting base doesn’t really have much power in deciding who the nominee will be.

In fact, they had no say in 2024.  Harris happened to be the party big whigs’ identity flavor of the month back when she got on the ticket as Vice President in 2020.  

When Biden dropped out of the 2024 race they realized they had little choice but make her the nominee and take the L – otherwise they’d risk exposing exactly how much of a grift their identity politics games have been all along.

 

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Sources:

• Axios, “Harris stepping toward another White House run,” December 15, 2025.
• The Hill, “2028 Democratic presidential hopefuls: Top contenders,” January 2026.
• The Center Square, “Poll: Kamala Harris still Democratic favorite for 2028,” October 20, 2025.
• Newsweek, “Kamala Harris’ 2028 presidential chances get boost,” December 15, 2025.
• Morning Consult, “Kamala Harris Leads Early 2028 Democratic Primary Poll,” November 25, 2024.
• Fox News, “Gov Tim Walz drops third term bid amid welfare fraud controversy in Minnesota,” January 2026.
• CNN, “Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz ends reelection bid amid welfare fraud scandal,” January 5, 2026.
• Forward, “In New Memoir, Josh Shapiro Confronts Antisemitism, Israel And Political Pressure,” January 2026.