Joe Biden is more scared of these voters than any in America

May 22, 2024

Joe Biden’s political problems are too numerous to count.

But one headache sits at the top of the list.

And Joe Biden is more scared of these voters than any in America.

Never Biden voters grow in numbers

In the 2016 and 2020 elections, the media obsessed about Never Trump voters.

So-called journalists are still spending primary nights claiming Trump is in trouble because about 20 percent of Republicans are voting for other candidates, even though that vote total for “zombie candidates” – candidates who remain on the ballot after dropping out – is below the historical norm.

Elections with incumbent Presidents are always referendums on the incumbent.

That’s an unavoidable fact of politics.

If the press needed any more evidence this election would come down to what voters think of Biden, the rise of the Never Biden cohort of voters should serve as a sober reminder.

In 2020, the number of voters who said they would never vote for Joe Biden under any circumstances barely topped 40 percent.

Four years later, it’s a different story, as a majority of swing state voters say they will never vote for Biden.

“The most recent poll to show this is Monday’s New York Times-Siena College poll of six key swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Across those states, 46 percent of registered voters said there was no chance they’d vote for Trump, while 52 percent said the same of Biden,” The Washington Post’s liberal blogger Aaron Blake wrote.

Trump’s ceiling 

In 2016 and 2020, Trump barely got 47 percent of the vote.

Trump won in 2016 because of the lower threshold for victory in the swing states, thanks to the presence of third-party candidates.

But as Blake pointed out, Trump’s average poll number in the New York Times/Siena battleground polls of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin is 49 percent.

Biden’s ceiling is already lower than Trump’s.

That’s bad news for Biden, as Biden partisans held out hope that Biden’s numbers would rise as third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. faded.

“The high “no chance” numbers for Biden undercut another common strain of perhaps overly optimistic Democratic thought: that the president stands to benefit if and when third-party candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. fade over time,” Blake wrote.

Biden’s problem 

Voters like to say they are open to a third-party candidate.

But as election day approaches, reality sets in that the third-party candidate vote share fades as voters come to realize anyone outside of the two major party candidates can’t win.

More than 50 percent of swing state voters say they will never vote for Biden.

Trump’s average poll support in the battlegrounds is 49 percent.

That means any traditional third-party candidate fade is more likely to push Trump over 50 percent than benefit Joe Biden.

Joe Biden’s facing one set of bruising poll numbers after another.

But the final nail in the coffin may be the large number of voters who are now Never Biden.

*24/7 Politics Official Polling*

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